IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 29.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 19% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.9% — normal range
Effective IV 56.3% (ATM 30.9% + spread 12.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 22.31% (spread 12.72% + slippage 9.59%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 42.04 (vega 53.473 / spread 12.72%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 25.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +16.7%, OI skew +25.0% — aligned
0-DTE 9%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +96%, OTM: -69% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 35% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 62% — urgent
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.7% — wide
OI 10,448 — adequate
Volume 264/day — thin
$0.64 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 23% — tighter than sector
Depth 36.2 contracts (bid:13.9 ask:22.3) — thin
Avg slippage 9.59% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 30% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 888.25 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.