DPZDomino's Pizza Inc.
Options Analysis Report•WHOLESALE-GROCERIES & RELATED PRODUCTS
Market Cap $12.5B|NASDAQ
● 2026-04-17$372.06
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-04-16 EOD data
1Y -20.5%YTD -12.5%7D +1.7%
Options Vol
1,352
30D
Implied Move
±11.0%
IV Rank
81%
DPZ Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
5.5
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 45.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.25x — IV premium over HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 29% — below sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.16x — backwardation
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 34.4% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 78.9% (ATM 34.4% + spread 22.3% + bias) — fair
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 36.90% (spread 22.26% + slippage 14.64%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 18.61 (vega 41.433 / spread 22.26%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
4.6
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -28%, Raw: -40%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: -28% (bearish) — Raw: -40%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 20.6% — put-heavy
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +24.0%, OI skew -20.6% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 66%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +20%, ATM: +16%, OTM: -52% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 34% — bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
5.3
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 1.6x avg — elevated
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 7.5% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +7.4% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 70% — active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 15% — mostly retail
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 26% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction -28 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
3.3
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 22.3% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 17,914 — adequate
Active Volume
≥500Volume 1,352/day — adequate
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$1.11 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 30% — tighter than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 26.9 contracts (bid:12.9 ask:14.0) — thin
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 14.64% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.5
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +16.1% — backwardation
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 45% — neutral
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 5.0pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 147.55 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations3 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)acceptable: Earnings in 10d
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow -28% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.1
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts5.4
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.7
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call5.0
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.