IV is low. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 24.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.95x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 12% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.9% — normal range
Effective IV 71.1% (ATM 29.9% + spread 20.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 29.44% (spread 20.59% + slippage 8.85%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.83 (vega 3.775 / spread 20.59%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -26% (bearish) — Raw: -22%
|OI skew| 12.1% — balanced
Vol skew +11.0%, OI skew +12.1% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -12%, OTM: -29% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 8% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction -26 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.6% — wide
OI 16,900 — adequate
Volume 218/day — thin
$1.03 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 14% — much tighter than sector
Depth 100.5 contracts (bid:53.1 ask:47.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.85% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.7% — contango
IV percentile 25% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4.80 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -26% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.