IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 11.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.48x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 59% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.3% — normal range
Effective IV 115.0% (ATM 26.3% + spread 44.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 54.30% (spread 44.36% + slippage 9.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.28 (vega 23.426 / spread 44.36%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -30% (strong bearish) — Raw: -32%
|OI skew| 68.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +60.0%, OI skew +68.5% — aligned
0-DTE 19%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -20%, OTM: -38% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 34% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction -30 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 44.4% — wide
OI 4,941 — thin
Volume 100/day — thin
$2.22 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 62% — wider than sector
Depth 72.80000000000001 contracts (bid:47.2 ask:25.6) — thin
Avg slippage 9.94% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 12% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 510.37 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -30% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.