Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 62.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.40x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 59% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.18x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.5% — normal range
Effective IV 69.7% (ATM 39.5% + spread 15.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 34.88% (spread 15.08% + slippage 19.80%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 19.62 (vega 29.584 / spread 15.08%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -20%
|OI skew| 10.8% — balanced
Vol skew +69.1%, OI skew +10.8% — aligned
0-DTE 48%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +71%, ATM: +38%, OTM: -42% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 12% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 32% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 22% — patient
Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.1% — wide
OI 25,803 — adequate
Volume 311/day — thin
$0.75 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Depth 57.8 contracts (bid:27.2 ask:30.6) — thin
Avg slippage 19.80% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +18.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 62% — neutral
IV kink 6.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 445.54 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 24d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 62 (ITM 20% + inst 32%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.