IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.78x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 91% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 55.5% — normal range
Effective IV 81.7% (ATM 55.5% + spread 13.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 19.99% (spread 13.08% + slippage 6.91%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.76 (vega 4.924 / spread 13.08%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +29% (bullish) — Raw: +32%
|OI skew| 3.4% — balanced
Vol skew +25.0%, OI skew +3.4% — aligned
0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +54%, ATM: +45%, OTM: -6% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 41% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.7x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 3.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 58% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 8% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction +29 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.1% — wide
OI 89,090 — deep
Volume 3,044/day — adequate
$0.65 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Depth 217.8 contracts (bid:132.9 ask:84.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.91% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.4% — contango
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink -11.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 44.52 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +29% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 38 (ITM 20% + inst 8%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.