IV is low with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 0.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 2.80x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.39x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 13.5% — normal range
Effective IV 72.1% (ATM 13.5% + spread 29.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 35.32% (spread 29.29% + slippage 6.03%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 29.29%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +42% (strong bullish) — Raw: +43%
|OI skew| 26.2% — put-heavy
Vol skew -56.3%, OI skew -26.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: +37%, OTM: +63% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 97% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.2x avg — hot
Vol/OI 8.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +25.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 77% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 24% — patient
Conviction +42 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 29.3% — wide
OI 208,368 — deep
Volume 17,688/day — active
$1.46 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 2% — much tighter than sector
Depth 23.8 contracts (bid:15.0 ask:8.8) — thin
Avg slippage 6.03% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +38.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 0% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +42% @ 71% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 107 (ITM 20% + inst 77%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.