Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 60.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 49% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.83x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.2% — normal range
Effective IV 91.7% (ATM 39.2% + spread 26.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 44.12% (spread 26.24% + slippage 17.88%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.12 (vega 37.038 / spread 26.24%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 2.4% — balanced
Vol skew -36.3%, OI skew -2.4% — aligned
0-DTE 10%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +6%, ATM: +7%, OTM: +2% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 88% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 15.3% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 8% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 13% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 26.2% — wide
OI 107,119 — deep
Volume 16,414/day — active
$1.31 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Depth 195.2 contracts (bid:81.2 ask:114.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 17.88% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -16.7% — contango
IV percentile 60% — neutral
IV kink -9.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1543.26 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 38 (ITM 20% + inst 8%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.