IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 1.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.25x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 17% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 21.0% — normal range
Effective IV 52.5% (ATM 21.0% + spread 15.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 22.22% (spread 15.74% + slippage 6.48%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 20.87 (vega 32.849 / spread 15.74%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -9% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 38.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +75.2%, OI skew +38.9% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -50%, ATM: +42%, OTM: -15% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 9% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 75% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 55% — patient
Conviction -9 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.7% — wide
OI 15,758 — adequate
Volume 637/day — adequate
$0.79 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 25% — tighter than sector
Depth 62.5 contracts (bid:29.4 ask:33.1) — thin
Avg slippage 6.48% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 2% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1747.27 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.