IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.27x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 85% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.17x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 45.0% — normal range
Effective IV 77.1% (ATM 45.0% + spread 16.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 19.26% (spread 16.03% + slippage 3.23%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 19.50 (vega 31.266 / spread 16.03%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +43% (strong bullish) — Raw: +38%
|OI skew| 4.2% — balanced
Vol skew -5.6%, OI skew -4.2% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 37%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +71%, ATM: +20%, OTM: +36% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.5% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 0% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction +43 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.0% — wide
OI 60,559 — deep
Volume 89/day — thin
$0.80 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 85% — much wider than sector
Depth 26.7 contracts (bid:13.6 ask:13.1) — thin
Avg slippage 3.23% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +16.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 76% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 275.47 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +43% @ 71% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.