IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.04x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 97% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 64.1% — normal range
Effective IV 84.9% (ATM 64.1% + spread 10.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.36% (spread 10.40% + slippage 5.96%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.38 (vega 1.433 / spread 10.40%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +7% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 4.2% — balanced
Vol skew -33.1%, OI skew +4.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +37%, ATM: -7%, OTM: -22% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 86% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 34% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 57% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction +7 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.4% — wide
OI 208,954 — deep
Volume 6,889/day — active
$0.52 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 205.7 contracts (bid:106.9 ask:98.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.96% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 95% — seller opportunity
IV kink -3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.08 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 14d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +7% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 87 (ITM 20% + inst 57%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.