IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 71.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.99x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 78% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.18x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.8% — normal range
Effective IV 68.2% (ATM 42.8% + spread 12.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 17.46% (spread 12.68% + slippage 4.78%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 124.53 (vega 157.906 / spread 12.68%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +12%
|OI skew| 18.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +34.5%, OI skew +18.9% — aligned
0-DTE 24%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -25%, OTM: +16% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 37% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.7% — wide
OI 6,115 — thin
Volume 238/day — thin
$0.63 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 79% — wider than sector
Depth 12.100000000000001 contracts (bid:5.9 ask:6.2) — thin
Avg slippage 4.78% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +17.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 414.56 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.