bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 58.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.05x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 62% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 38.6% — normal range
Effective IV 60.7% (ATM 38.6% + spread 11.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 15.55% (spread 11.03% + slippage 4.52%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.51 (vega 8.280 / spread 11.03%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 17.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +30.7%, OI skew +17.3% — aligned
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: +19%, OTM: -12% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 40% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 39% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.0% — wide
OI 57,115 — deep
Volume 1,521/day — adequate
$0.55 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 64% — wider than sector
Depth 96.5 contracts (bid:49.9 ask:46.6) — thin
Avg slippage 4.52% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 58% — neutral
IV kink -1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 46.54 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.