Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 38.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.11x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 27% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.8% — normal range
Effective IV 63.5% (ATM 32.8% + spread 15.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 20.07% (spread 15.33% + slippage 4.74%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 32.60 (vega 49.980 / spread 15.33%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +32% (strong bullish) — Raw: +32%
|OI skew| 11.7% — balanced
Vol skew -24.6%, OI skew +11.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +79%, ATM: -21%, OTM: +33% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 78% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.9% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 70% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 41% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction +32 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.3% — wide
OI 145,019 — deep
Volume 7,432/day — active
$0.77 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 30% — tighter than sector
Depth 184.2 contracts (bid:88.7 ask:95.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.74% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.2% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 38% — neutral
IV kink -1.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1851.12 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +32% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 71 (ITM 20% + inst 41%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.