IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 88.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.84x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 65% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.16x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 55.1% — normal range
Effective IV 91.0% (ATM 55.1% + spread 17.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 23.78% (spread 17.95% + slippage 5.83%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 11.46 (vega 20.575 / spread 17.95%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 7.6% — balanced
Vol skew +2.4%, OI skew +7.6% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 9%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: +50%, OTM: -36% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 73% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 21% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 22% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.9% — wide
OI 8,080 — thin
Volume 205/day — thin
$0.90 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 66% — wider than sector
Depth 29.3 contracts (bid:14.0 ask:15.3) — thin
Avg slippage 5.83% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 206.16 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.