IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 7.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 2% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 21.5% — normal range
Effective IV 48.0% (ATM 21.5% + spread 13.3% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 19.19% (spread 13.26% + slippage 5.93%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.54 (vega 0.716 / spread 13.26%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: -20%
|OI skew| 62.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +57.6%, OI skew +62.0% — aligned
0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -3%, ATM: -25%, OTM: -16% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 38% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 39% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.3% — wide
OI 249,976 — deep
Volume 4,439/day — adequate
$0.66 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Depth 501.9 contracts (bid:265.8 ask:236.1) — deep
Avg slippage 5.93% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 8% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 9.69 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -7% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 69 (ITM 20% + inst 39%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.