IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 28.9% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.89x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 56% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.8% — normal range
Effective IV 61.4% (ATM 30.8% + spread 15.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 24.75% (spread 15.28% + slippage 9.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 163.89 (vega 250.431 / spread 15.28%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +41% (strong bullish) — Raw: +34%
|OI skew| 40.2% — put-heavy
Vol skew -30.2%, OI skew -40.2% — aligned
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -38%, ATM: +3%, OTM: +61% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 83% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 39% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction +41 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.3% — wide
OI 18,097 — adequate
Volume 387/day — thin
$0.76 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 65% — wider than sector
Depth 18.200000000000003 contracts (bid:9.8 ask:8.4) — thin
Avg slippage 9.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +10.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 29% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 738.30 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +41% @ 71% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.