IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 14.9% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.59x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 36% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 27.2% — normal range
Effective IV 147.1% (ATM 27.2% + spread 59.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 73.86% (spread 59.93% + slippage 13.93%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.85 (vega 41.076 / spread 59.93%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +94% (strong bullish) — Raw: +91%
|OI skew| 12.7% — balanced
Vol skew +75.5%, OI skew +12.7% — aligned
0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +97% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 13% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 7.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 78% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction +94 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 59.9% — wide
OI 1,942 — thin
Volume 139/day — thin
$3.00 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Depth 20.1 contracts (bid:8.0 ask:12.1) — thin
Avg slippage 13.93% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 15% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 436.98 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +94% @ 97% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 108 (ITM 20% + inst 78%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.