IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 15.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.89x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 27.5% — normal range
Effective IV 73.9% (ATM 27.5% + spread 23.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 35.54% (spread 23.22% + slippage 12.32%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.53 (vega 12.841 / spread 23.22%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +44% (strong bullish) — Raw: +43%
|OI skew| 54.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew -31.7%, OI skew +54.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 29%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -33%, ATM: -16%, OTM: +55% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 9% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 63% — urgent
Conviction +44 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 23.2% — wide
OI 22,409 — adequate
Volume 240/day — thin
$1.16 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 72% — wider than sector
Depth 90.7 contracts (bid:46.7 ask:44.0) — thin
Avg slippage 12.32% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +3.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 16% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 5.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 236.92 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +44% @ 72% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.