IV is low with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 22.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 44% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.11x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.4% — normal range
Effective IV 124.6% (ATM 29.4% + spread 47.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 55.10% (spread 47.59% + slippage 7.51%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.49 (vega 2.343 / spread 47.59%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +65% (strong bullish) — Raw: +68%
|OI skew| 19.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +23.9%, OI skew +19.3% — aligned
0-DTE 32%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +30%, OTM: +86% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 26% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction +65 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 47.6% — wide
OI 4,889 — thin
Volume 71/day — thin
$2.38 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Depth 59.800000000000004 contracts (bid:34.7 ask:25.1) — thin
Avg slippage 7.51% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +11.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 22% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 5.85 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +65% @ 83% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.