Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 52.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.26x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 41% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 36.9% — normal range
Effective IV 55.6% (ATM 36.9% + spread 9.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 13.94% (spread 9.35% + slippage 4.59%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 32.57 (vega 30.451 / spread 9.35%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -28% (bearish) — Raw: -16%
|OI skew| 23.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +14.6%, OI skew +23.7% — aligned
0-DTE 20%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -14%, ATM: -33%, OTM: +6% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 61% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 9% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 8% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 54% — patient
Conviction -28 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.3% — wide
OI 82,290 — deep
Volume 1,346/day — adequate
$0.47 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 43% — neutral vs sector
Depth 126.5 contracts (bid:71.8 ask:54.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.59% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 52% — neutral
IV kink 3.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 322.57 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 17d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -28% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 38 (ITM 20% + inst 8%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.