IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 19.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.74x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 14% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.4% — normal range
Effective IV 53.0% (ATM 28.4% + spread 12.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 17.75% (spread 12.30% + slippage 5.45%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 13.55 (vega 16.665 / spread 12.30%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -25% (bearish) — Raw: -24%
|OI skew| 1.4% — balanced
Vol skew +46.4%, OI skew -1.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 11%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: -10%, OTM: -35% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 3% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 59% — patient
Conviction -25 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.3% — wide
OI 106,091 — deep
Volume 3,423/day — adequate
$0.62 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 17% — much tighter than sector
Depth 202.1 contracts (bid:122.8 ask:79.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.45% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.7% — contango
IV percentile 20% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1915.48 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -25% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 33 (ITM 20% + inst 3%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.