IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 81.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 94% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 48.5% — normal range
Effective IV 71.2% (ATM 48.5% + spread 11.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 26.81% (spread 11.34% + slippage 15.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 64.50 (vega 73.139 / spread 11.34%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +41% (strong bullish) — Raw: +21%
|OI skew| 15.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +39.0%, OI skew +15.0% — aligned
0-DTE 29%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -17%, ATM: +38%, OTM: +22% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 24% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 26% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction +41 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.3% — wide
OI 12,774 — adequate
Volume 354/day — thin
$0.57 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 60.699999999999996 contracts (bid:27.9 ask:32.8) — thin
Avg slippage 15.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 947.39 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +41% @ 70% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.