IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 34% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.22x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.7% — normal range
Effective IV 68.6% (ATM 42.7% + spread 13.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 21.73% (spread 12.96% + slippage 8.77%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 66.02 (vega 85.562 / spread 12.96%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +29% (bullish) — Raw: +36%
|OI skew| 4.3% — balanced
Vol skew +80.4%, OI skew -4.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 67%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +68%, ATM: -55%, OTM: +77% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 3% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 31% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction +29 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.0% — wide
OI 8,752 — thin
Volume 644/day — adequate
$0.65 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 36% — tighter than sector
Depth 32.3 contracts (bid:20.1 ask:12.2) — thin
Avg slippage 8.77% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +21.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity
IV kink 9.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 804.16 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +29% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 61 (ITM 20% + inst 31%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.