IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 45.7% — normal range
Effective IV 98.5% (ATM 45.7% + spread 26.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 30.39% (spread 26.38% + slippage 4.01%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.35 (vega 0.921 / spread 26.38%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -44% (strong bearish) — Raw: -33%
|OI skew| 42.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +61.6%, OI skew +42.9% — aligned
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +27%, ATM: +20%, OTM: -48% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 12% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 23% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 12% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -44 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 26.4% — wide
OI 35,899 — adequate
Volume 1,225/day — adequate
$1.32 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Depth 187.6 contracts (bid:113.0 ask:74.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.01% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.9% — contango
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink -5.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.40 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -44% @ 72% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 42 (ITM 20% + inst 12%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.