IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 94.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.96x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 97% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 62.8% — normal range
Effective IV 78.2% (ATM 62.8% + spread 7.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 14.11% (spread 7.72% + slippage 6.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 408.76 (vega 315.561 / spread 7.72%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -22% (bearish) — Raw: -17%
|OI skew| 9.9% — balanced
Vol skew +37.8%, OI skew -9.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 65%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: -7%, OTM: -20% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 32% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 79% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 20% — mixed
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction -22 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.7% — wide
OI 15,661 — adequate
Volume 1,385/day — adequate
$0.39 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 13.2 contracts (bid:6.1 ask:7.1) — thin
Avg slippage 6.39% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 95% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 282.43 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.