IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 26.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.30x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 13% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.2% — normal range
Effective IV 75.1% (ATM 30.2% + spread 22.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 26.81% (spread 22.47% + slippage 4.34%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.71 (vega 21.814 / spread 22.47%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +13% (bullish) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 13.0% — balanced
Vol skew +78.0%, OI skew -13.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 32%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: +47%, OTM: -8% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +31.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 6% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction +13 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 22.5% — wide
OI 12,926 — adequate
Volume 100/day — thin
$1.12 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 24% — tighter than sector
Depth 160.7 contracts (bid:95.4 ask:65.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.34% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 26% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1425.74 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 24d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +13% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.