IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.23x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 53% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 49.2% — normal range
Effective IV 72.8% (ATM 49.2% + spread 11.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 17.95% (spread 11.80% + slippage 6.15%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.91 (vega 4.611 / spread 11.80%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +55% (strong bullish) — Raw: +39%
|OI skew| 14.0% — balanced
Vol skew +17.4%, OI skew -14.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -7%, ATM: -10%, OTM: +59% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 62% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 20% — mixed
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction +55 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.8% — wide
OI 201,523 — deep
Volume 13,832/day — active
$0.59 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Depth 155.0 contracts (bid:72.9 ask:82.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.15% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.5% — contango
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink -9.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 37.77 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +55% @ 77% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.