Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 59.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.48x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 38.7% — normal range
Effective IV 114.3% (ATM 38.7% + spread 37.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 45.75% (spread 37.80% + slippage 7.95%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.07 (vega 19.150 / spread 37.80%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: -9%
|OI skew| 58.2% — put-heavy
Vol skew +62.3%, OI skew -58.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -60%, OTM: +20% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 10% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 0% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 37.8% — wide
OI 10,747 — adequate
Volume 53/day — thin
$1.89 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 22% — tighter than sector
Depth 138.0 contracts (bid:44.2 ask:93.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.95% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 59% — neutral
IV kink 1.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1348.58 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.