IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.63x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 79% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 59.6% — normal range
Effective IV 89.6% (ATM 59.6% + spread 15.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 19.76% (spread 14.98% + slippage 4.78%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.28 (vega 13.903 / spread 14.98%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +0% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
|OI skew| 6.3% — balanced
Vol skew +25.1%, OI skew -6.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 10%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +22%, ATM: -23%, OTM: +6% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +24.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 25% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction +0 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.0% — wide
OI 26,236 — adequate
Volume 905/day — adequate
$0.75 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 79% — wider than sector
Depth 109.3 contracts (bid:48.8 ask:60.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.78% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.3% — contango
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink -7.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 231.72 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +0% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.