
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 74.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.92x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.49x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.3% — normal range
Effective IV 67.5% (ATM 44.3% + spread 11.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 20.83% (spread 11.58% + slippage 9.25%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.33 (vega 6.172 / spread 11.58%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -13% (bearish) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 0.6% — balanced
Vol skew +35.0%, OI skew +0.6% — aligned
0-DTE 59%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -11%, ATM: -46%, OTM: +2% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 35% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 14.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 23% — mixed
Aggressive execution 26% — patient
Conviction -13 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.6% — wide
OI 211,809 — deep
Volume 30,300/day — active
$0.58 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 182.7 contracts (bid:74.2 ask:108.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.25% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +49.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 74% — seller opportunity
IV kink 15.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 4.65 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -13% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 53 (ITM 20% + inst 23%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.