bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 65.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.22x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 66% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.1% — normal range
Effective IV 82.3% (ATM 40.1% + spread 21.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.06% (spread 21.11% + slippage 3.95%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.68 (vega 1.433 / spread 21.11%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +19% (bullish) — Raw: +22%
|OI skew| 27.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +87.5%, OI skew +27.0% — aligned
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +11%, ATM: +17%, OTM: +24% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 2% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 6.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 26% — mixed
Aggressive execution 13% — patient
Conviction +19 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.1% — wide
OI 50,269 — deep
Volume 3,134/day — adequate
$1.06 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 68% — wider than sector
Depth 260.1 contracts (bid:145.2 ask:114.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.95% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink -1.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.10 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +19% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 56 (ITM 20% + inst 26%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.