IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 81.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 52% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 48.4% — normal range
Effective IV 93.7% (ATM 48.4% + spread 22.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 31.92% (spread 22.64% + slippage 9.28%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.18 (vega 0.402 / spread 22.64%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -63% (strong bearish) — Raw: -65%
|OI skew| 29.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +22.5%, OI skew +29.0% — aligned
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -82%, OTM: -50% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 1% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction -63 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 22.6% — wide
OI 13,958 — adequate
Volume 80/day — thin
$1.13 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Depth 230.1 contracts (bid:117.3 ask:112.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.28% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 81% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.38 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -63% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.