IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 87.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.17x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 54.8% — normal range
Effective IV 68.9% (ATM 54.8% + spread 7.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 11.81% (spread 7.04% + slippage 4.77%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 348.01 (vega 245.000 / spread 7.04%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: -8%
|OI skew| 9.1% — balanced
Vol skew -2.8%, OI skew -9.1% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 42%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +1%, ATM: -3%, OTM: -10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 81% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.0% — wide
OI 207,483 — deep
Volume 15,151/day — active
$0.35 to cross — cheap
4 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 78.2 contracts (bid:38.2 ask:40.0) — thin
Avg slippage 4.77% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +17.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 525.64 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.