IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 29.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.30x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 52% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.0% — normal range
Effective IV 52.3% (ATM 31.0% + spread 10.6% + bias) — good value
Total drag 15.14% (spread 10.63% + slippage 4.51%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.12 (vega 9.697 / spread 10.63%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +15% (bullish) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 10.7% — balanced
Vol skew -47.4%, OI skew +10.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 53%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +1%, ATM: +14%, OTM: +16% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.3% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 58% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +15 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.6% — wide
OI 175,109 — deep
Volume 13,513/day — active
$0.53 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Depth 529.6 contracts (bid:274.5 ask:255.1) — deep
Avg slippage 4.51% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.5% — contango
IV percentile 30% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1042.72 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 88 (ITM 20% + inst 58%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.