IV is low with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 21.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.56x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 35% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.0% — normal range
Effective IV 65.2% (ATM 29.0% + spread 18.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 21.78% (spread 18.12% + slippage 3.66%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.71 (vega 3.100 / spread 18.12%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -30%
|OI skew| 73.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +99.1%, OI skew +73.2% — aligned
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -3%, ATM: -30%, OTM: -56% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.5x avg — hot
Vol/OI 9.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 15% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.1% — wide
OI 6,743 — thin
Volume 670/day — adequate
$0.91 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 38% — tighter than sector
Depth 50.0 contracts (bid:33.5 ask:16.5) — thin
Avg slippage 3.66% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 22% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 6.90 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.