IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.94x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 87% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 70.7% — normal range
Effective IV 90.4% (ATM 70.7% + spread 9.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.47% (spread 9.86% + slippage 6.61%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 49.56 (vega 48.868 / spread 9.86%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 14.6% — balanced
Vol skew +9.4%, OI skew +14.6% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: -14%, OTM: -9% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 67% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 64% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.9% — wide
OI 379,761 — deep
Volume 32,967/day — active
$0.49 to cross — cheap
5 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 305.6 contracts (bid:126.2 ask:179.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.61% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink -7.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 620.94 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.