bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 49.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.23x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 35% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.18x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 35.8% — normal range
Effective IV 77.1% (ATM 35.8% + spread 20.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.50% (spread 20.63% + slippage 6.87%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.76 (vega 18.081 / spread 20.63%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -35% (strong bearish) — Raw: -31%
|OI skew| 22.5% — put-heavy
Vol skew +56.4%, OI skew -22.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 40%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +9%, ATM: -89%, OTM: +17% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 6% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 2% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -35 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.6% — wide
OI 21,112 — adequate
Volume 156/day — thin
$1.03 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 36% — tighter than sector
Depth 46.3 contracts (bid:24.8 ask:21.5) — thin
Avg slippage 6.87% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +18.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 49% — neutral
IV kink 5.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 349.05 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -35% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.