Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 50.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 14% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.25x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 36.3% — normal range
Effective IV 63.9% (ATM 36.3% + spread 13.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 25.57% (spread 13.82% + slippage 11.75%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.15 (vega 4.355 / spread 13.82%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -3% (neutral) — Raw: -20%
|OI skew| 21.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew -16.9%, OI skew +21.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 85%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +33%, ATM: -38%, OTM: +10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction -3 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.8% — wide
OI 12,823 — adequate
Volume 794/day — adequate
$0.69 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 16% — much tighter than sector
Depth 34.6 contracts (bid:21.6 ask:13.0) — thin
Avg slippage 11.75% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +24.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 50% — neutral
IV kink 8.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4.15 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.