Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 69.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.30x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.23x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 41.8% — normal range
Effective IV 51.4% (ATM 41.8% + spread 4.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 7.62% (spread 4.81% + slippage 2.81%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.62 (vega 0.781 / spread 4.81%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +36% (strong bullish) — Raw: +31%
|OI skew| 14.7% — balanced
Vol skew +11.8%, OI skew +14.7% — aligned
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -5%, ATM: +22%, OTM: +35% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 65% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 74% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 57% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 53% — patient
Conviction +36 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.8% — acceptable
OI 551,679 — deep
Volume 31,070/day — active
$0.24 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 418.5 contracts (bid:220.0 ask:198.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.81% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +23.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 69% — neutral
IV kink 7.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4.79 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +36% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 87 (ITM 20% + inst 57%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.