IV is low with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 21.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.93x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 10% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.8% — normal range
Effective IV 46.3% (ATM 28.8% + spread 8.8% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 14.62% (spread 8.76% + slippage 5.86%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 99.22 (vega 86.914 / spread 8.76%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +7% (neutral) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 9.3% — balanced
Vol skew +30.6%, OI skew +9.3% — aligned
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +79%, ATM: -10%, OTM: -28% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 32% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 72% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 41% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +7 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.8% — wide
OI 242,202 — deep
Volume 18,565/day — active
$0.44 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 12% — much tighter than sector
Depth 113.60000000000001 contracts (bid:48.7 ask:64.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.86% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.2% — contango
IV percentile 21% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 944.71 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +7% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 71 (ITM 20% + inst 41%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.