IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 17.4% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.43x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 26% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.12x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 27.9% — normal range
Effective IV 56.4% (ATM 27.9% + spread 14.2% + bias) — good value
Total drag 22.70% (spread 14.23% + slippage 8.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 16.10 (vega 22.915 / spread 14.23%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +15% (bullish) — Raw: +19%
|OI skew| 21.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew -16.5%, OI skew +21.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -16%, OTM: +48% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 84% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.9x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 10.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +23.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 84% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 67% — urgent
Conviction +15 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.2% — wide
OI 7,500 — thin
Volume 819/day — adequate
$0.71 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 115.1 contracts (bid:62.1 ask:53.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 17% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 489.64 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.