
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 65.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.0% — normal range
Effective IV 60.0% (ATM 40.0% + spread 10.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 20.70% (spread 10.02% + slippage 10.68%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.78 (vega 5.793 / spread 10.02%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 48.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew -8.6%, OI skew +48.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 40%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +70%, ATM: -53%, OTM: +30% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 73% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 25% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.0% — wide
OI 10,590 — adequate
Volume 221/day — thin
$0.50 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 71% — wider than sector
Depth 16.7 contracts (bid:10.2 ask:6.5) — thin
Avg slippage 10.68% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 65% — neutral
IV kink 6.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 5.37 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.