IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.84x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 47% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 46.7% — normal range
Effective IV 67.8% (ATM 46.7% + spread 10.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 16.73% (spread 10.54% + slippage 6.19%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.70 (vega 6.007 / spread 10.54%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -10% (bearish) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 8.9% — balanced
Vol skew +53.5%, OI skew +8.9% — aligned
0-DTE 32%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +10%, ATM: +6%, OTM: -6% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 16% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 36% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 56% — patient
Conviction -10 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.5% — wide
OI 401,277 — deep
Volume 26,913/day — active
$0.53 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Depth 514.2 contracts (bid:264.4 ask:249.8) — deep
Avg slippage 6.19% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.9% — contango
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 500.60 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 66 (ITM 20% + inst 36%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.