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HRLHormel Foods Corporation

Options Analysis ReportMEAT PACKING PLANTS
Market Cap $11.9B|NYSE
2026-08-31$21.57
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -13.8%YTD -7.8%7D -10.5%
10,636
30D
±6.9%
11%

HRL Options Overview

IV is low with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

6.2VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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HRL Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

8.3
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 29.0% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.62x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 41% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.82x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 25.1% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 67.7% (ATM 25.1% + spread 21.3% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 31.07% (spread 21.32% + slippage 9.75%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.79 (vega 1.677 / spread 21.32%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.4
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +29%, Raw: +24%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +29% (bullish) — Raw: +24%

≥15%

|OI skew| 24.8% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -26.1%, OI skew +24.8% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +41%, ATM: +34%, OTM: +2% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.1
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.7x avg — elevated

≥15%

Vol/OI 9.8% — normal turnover

≥2 days

3 day(s) elevated — sustained

≥5%

OI change +46.9% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 35% — patient

≥30

Conviction +29 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.9
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 21.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 108,392 — deep

≥500

Volume 10,636/day — active

≤$0.50

$1.07 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 46% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 477.5 contracts (bid:289.0 ask:188.5) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 9.75% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -17.9% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 29% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.9pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 129.04 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +29% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.4
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts6.1
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.3
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.0
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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