IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 3.05x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.16x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 81.0% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 203.6% (ATM 81.0% + spread 61.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 86.29% (spread 61.29% + slippage 25.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.79 (vega 4.866 / spread 61.29%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -46% (strong bearish) — Raw: -11%
|OI skew| 19.0% — put-heavy
Vol skew +37.9%, OI skew -19.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 33%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -17%, ATM: +0%, OTM: +67% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 28% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 56% — patient
Conviction -46 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 61.3% — wide
OI 12,332 — adequate
Volume 87/day — thin
$3.06 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector
Depth 28.700000000000003 contracts (bid:15.9 ask:12.8) — thin
Avg slippage 25.00% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +16.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 13.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 207.95 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -46% @ 73% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.