HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.
HWM Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
HWM Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 56.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.83x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.6% — normal range
Effective IV 53.3% (ATM 31.6% + spread 10.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 17.38% (spread 10.85% + slippage 6.53%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.98 (vega 28.185 / spread 10.85%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -26% (bearish) — Raw: -22%
|OI skew| 0.7% — balanced
Vol skew +20.5%, OI skew -0.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -83%, ATM: +20%, OTM: -26% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.0% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +22.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 72% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 47% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 26% — patient
Conviction -26 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.8% — wide
OI 55,308 — deep
Volume 2,741/day — adequate
$0.54 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Depth 70.4 contracts (bid:34.0 ask:36.4) — thin
Avg slippage 6.53% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -17.2% — contango
IV percentile 56% — neutral
IV kink -2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 194.11 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -26% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 77 (ITM 20% + inst 47%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.