IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 75.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.94x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 88% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.34x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.4% — normal range
Effective IV 65.9% (ATM 44.4% + spread 10.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 15.62% (spread 10.76% + slippage 4.86%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 18.95 (vega 20.388 / spread 10.76%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -16%
|OI skew| 21.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +2.0%, OI skew +21.9% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -24%, ATM: -22%, OTM: -7% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 63% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 37% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 4% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.8% — wide
OI 140,231 — deep
Volume 5,009/day — active
$0.54 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 226.0 contracts (bid:123.6 ask:102.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.86% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +34.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 75% — seller opportunity
IV kink 12.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 715.38 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 34 (ITM 20% + inst 4%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.