bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 56.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.48x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 57% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.30x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.8% — normal range
Effective IV 77.9% (ATM 37.8% + spread 20.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 28.07% (spread 20.07% + slippage 8.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 77.35 (vega 155.243 / spread 20.07%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: +0%
|OI skew| 17.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +27.6%, OI skew +17.2% — aligned
0-DTE 62%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -60%, ATM: -31%, OTM: +50% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 37% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 4.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 73% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 12% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.1% — wide
OI 2,938 — thin
Volume 127/day — thin
$1.00 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 59% — neutral vs sector
Depth 19.6 contracts (bid:8.1 ask:11.5) — thin
Avg slippage 8.00% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +30.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 57% — neutral
IV kink 10.8pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 864.38 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.