bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 47.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 44% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.21x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 35.3% — normal range
Effective IV 90.0% (ATM 35.3% + spread 27.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 70.61% (spread 27.36% + slippage 43.25%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 12.04 (vega 32.933 / spread 27.36%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -81% (strong bearish) — Raw: -71%
|OI skew| 14.5% — balanced
Vol skew -100.0%, OI skew -14.5% — aligned
0-DTE 100%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +100% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 67% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 7% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 67% — urgent
Conviction -81 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 27.4% — wide
OI 1,882 — thin
Volume 14/day — thin
$1.37 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Depth 10.3 contracts (bid:6.3 ask:4.0) — thin
Avg slippage 43.25% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 48% — neutral
IV kink 5.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 361.90 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -81% @ 88% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.